Baiguan - China Insights, Data, Context

Baiguan - China Insights, Data, Context

Baiguan Pro

Data Update — July 2026

Baiguan's avatar
Baiguan
Aug 21, 2026
∙ Paid

*On April 1, we officially launched Baiguan Pro, our professional-tier subscription designed for investors seeking deeper, more specific coverage of Chinese equities. Baiguan Pro delivers the Baiguan team’s monthly outlook on overall Chinese equity assets, our quarterly focus on themes and sectors, richer company-level analysis, and follow-ups on the ideas and companies previously presented in the newsletter.*


Before today’s post — a quick note. Applications are open for the 2026 Autumn Baiguan China Tour, a month-long “marathon” of modular expeditions across October and November: Robotics & AI in Beijing, advanced manufacturing from Foshan to Shenzhen, the next energy cycle across Shanghai–Suzhou–Hangzhou, and premium consumption in Shanghai — plus weekend immersions in Datong, Yiwu and Nanjing. Early-bird pricing through September 13.

RSVP Now: 2026 Autumn Baiguan China Tour “Marathon”

RSVP Now: 2026 Autumn Baiguan China Tour “Marathon”

Robert Wu
·
Aug 13
Read full story

Please feel free to contact us at Baiguan_ChinaTour@bigonelab.com with any questions.


In Today’s Data Update

China’s two-speed economy continues. In H1, goods sales rose just 1.1% while services rose 5.3%. Exports and industry have held up; the household wallet has not. July brought further pressure, as a historic run of typhoons disrupted foot traffic and an equity market in deep correction weighed on sentiment among consumers who were already cautious.

In today’s Data Update, we look at the most recent data to see how consumer brands are holding up in a softer domestic consumption environment. In particular, we examine LV’s July sales — the first full month after its trademark lawsuit against local tea brand Molly Tea won in court but lost the Chinese public.

Louis Vuitton won. But Chinese netizens now call it a "toilet bag."

Louis Vuitton won. But Chinese netizens now call it a "toilet bag."

Amber Zhang
·
Jul 28
Read full story

With BigOne Lab’s proprietary offline payment data as of July 2026, we cover:

  • Luxury goods: which brands kept growing through a soft July and which did not — and whether the split is better explained by the overall economy or specific brands.

  • Gold & jewelry: Laopu’s July print, set against a choppy gold price and a thin promotional calendar outside SKP. We also read the secondhand market, where transaction volumes and premiums say something about who still believes in the price.

  • Tea & coffee: delivery platforms are pulling back their subsidies. We look at what that meant for third-party delivery sales in July, normally the peak summer month, and at how brands funding their own in-store discounts, such as Luckin and Guming, fared against those that are not.

  • Pop Mart: we update July’s year-on-year growth and what the collab-heavy 2026 slate means for Pop Mart’s IP concentration risk.

  • Sportswear & footwear: a traditional low season with no holiday catalyst, and typhoons disrupting outdoor demand. We look at brand-by-brand performance, particularly whether Lululemon’s completed fiscal Q2 (May–July) supports management’s mid-to-high-teens China guidance after the Great Wall drum scandal.

At BigOne Lab, we curate data highlights, analyze them, and deliver insights trusted by 100+ top institutional and corporate clients worldwide.

🔒 The following content is available to Baiguan Pro subscribers.

1. Luxury brands

This post is for subscribers in the Professional plan

Already in the Professional plan? Sign in
© 2026 Baiguan · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture